New Zealand’s Strategic (In)Security: Accelerating Digital Frontier, Defence Deficit, Eroding Home Front

Dr Reuben Steff, Assistant Professor of Geopolitics and International Relations, Mendel University, Brno, Czech Republic

Tuesday, 13 October 2026 5:30pm - 7:00pm Door opens at 5:00pm

Auckland

Europe House, AUT, Level 16, 56 Wakefield Street Auckland CBD 1010

The NZIIA Auckland Branch and The Indo-Pacific and Euro-Atlantic Hub for Shared Security Challenges invite you to a lecture by Dr Reuben Steff. 

New Zealand is out of runway, drawn into a "Second Cold War" driven by a hardening Eurasian entente (Russia, China, Iran, North Korea), shifting Pacific dynamics, and recalibrated Western alliances. The nation faces three compounding strategic problems:

  • Digital Frontier: Accelerating AI and advanced technologies are dissolving geographical distance, leaving an industrial-age Cabinet struggling in an age of intelligence.
  • Defence Deficit: Decades of underinvestment collide with an urgent multi-billion-dollar Defence Force rebuild, frigate decisions, and deepening alignment with Australia, the US and Japan alongside growing cooperation with NATO partners facing shared global risks.
  • Home Front: Stagnant productivity, a domestic brain drain, and limited material resilience severely constrain what national strategy can achieve.

With November’s election looming, the next government will inherit all three fronts, but choosing well can still secure advantages in space, autonomy, and sovereign data.

Recent publications:
(2026) Small Force, Big Data: Defense AI in New Zealand (Defense AI Observatory): https://defenseai.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/daio_study2635_small_force_big_data_reuben_steff.pdf

(2025) New Zealand Geopolitics and the US-China Competition (Palgrave-Macmillan): https://link.springer.com/book/9789819602810

(2024) 'The Strategic Case for New Zealand to Join AUKUS Pillar 2,' Australia Journal of International Affairs, open access: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10357718.2024.2399338

(2024) '"Our region is now a strategic theatre": New Zealand’s balancing response to China', Pacific Review, open access: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09512748.2024.2314764(2023)

Contact the Auckland branch

CHAIR - SARAH FETUANI

shal074@aucklanduni.ac.nz

The NZIIA Auckland Branch and The Indo-Pacific and Euro-Atlantic Hub for Shared Security Challenges invite you to a lecture by Dr Reuben Steff. 

New Zealand is out of runway, drawn into a "Second Cold War" driven by a hardening Eurasian entente (Russia, China, Iran, North Korea), shifting Pacific dynamics, and recalibrated Western alliances. The nation faces three compounding strategic problems:

  • Digital Frontier: Accelerating AI and advanced technologies are dissolving geographical distance, leaving an industrial-age Cabinet struggling in an age of intelligence.
  • Defence Deficit: Decades of underinvestment collide with an urgent multi-billion-dollar Defence Force rebuild, frigate decisions, and deepening alignment with Australia, the US and Japan alongside growing cooperation with NATO partners facing shared global risks.
  • Home Front: Stagnant productivity, a domestic brain drain, and limited material resilience severely constrain what national strategy can achieve.

With November’s election looming, the next government will inherit all three fronts, but choosing well can still secure advantages in space, autonomy, and sovereign data.

Recent publications:
(2026) Small Force, Big Data: Defense AI in New Zealand (Defense AI Observatory): https://defenseai.eu/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/daio_study2635_small_force_big_data_reuben_steff.pdf

(2025) New Zealand Geopolitics and the US-China Competition (Palgrave-Macmillan): https://link.springer.com/book/9789819602810

(2024) 'The Strategic Case for New Zealand to Join AUKUS Pillar 2,' Australia Journal of International Affairs, open access: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10357718.2024.2399338

(2024) '"Our region is now a strategic theatre": New Zealand’s balancing response to China', Pacific Review, open access: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09512748.2024.2314764(2023)

Membership

NZIIA membership is open to anyone interested in understanding the importance of global affairs to the political and economic well-being of New Zealand.